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Red59
340712.7
310020.1
450620.9
Blue128
319727.3
543439.1
252917.8
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions44820206010012014016059128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4506
#40
20.90.6
18.118.7
Auto4.2
Teleop13.4
End3.4
blue by 18.2
39.14.3
31.035.3
Auto14.6
Teleop20.8
End3.8
Second
3100
#34
20.10.6
18.118.7
Auto7.1
Teleop10.9
End2.1
blue by 7.2
3197
#11
27.32.6
26.529.1
Auto7.7
Teleop14.9
End4.7
Third
3407
#56
12.70.6
12.212.8
Auto3.5
Teleop6.5
End2.8
blue by 5.1
2529
#27
17.84.3
16.620.9
Auto4.4
Teleop12.6
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
28%Breach oddsMissed70%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsEarned