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Red69
374515.6
301821.4
251122.8
Blue70
285524.4
329218.8
324426.9
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions596302040801001201406970

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2511
#55
22.81.3
22.423.7
Auto3.5
Teleop13.4
End6.0
blue by 4.1
3244
#15
26.91.0
20.821.8
Auto6.7
Teleop14.5
End5.6
Second
3018
#41
21.40.8
21.021.8
Auto9.5
Teleop10.1
End1.9
blue by 3.0
2855
#12
24.41.0
21.722.7
Auto5.2
Teleop14.4
End4.8
Third
3745
#58
15.61.3
14.215.5
Auto6.0
Teleop6.7
End2.9
blue by 3.1
3292
#47
18.81.0
18.519.5
Auto2.1
Teleop13.7
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
65%Breach oddsEarned70%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed