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Red100
52547.1
205244.8
301821.4
Blue102
247018.7
282331.0
303827.4
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1479050100200100102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
525
#2
47.10.8
47.646.8
Auto12.4
Teleop26.5
End8.3
red by 16.2
31.00.1
31.431.5
Auto13.8
Teleop14.4
End2.8
Second
44.80.8
45.244.5
Auto10.1
Teleop29.9
End4.9
red by 17.4
3038
#20
27.40.1
28.028.1
Auto7.7
Teleop13.7
End6.0
Third
3018
#41
21.40.8
21.921.1
Auto9.5
Teleop10.1
End1.9
red by 2.7
2470
#19
18.70.1
19.219.3
Auto6.1
Teleop10.7
End2.0