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Red110
52547.1
205244.8
301821.4
Blue99
250922.3
218127.1
300724.4
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions154755010020011099

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
525
#2
47.10.6
48.648.0
Auto12.4
Teleop26.5
End8.3
red by 20.1
2181
#14
27.10.2
26.927.1
Auto7.6
Teleop13.9
End5.6
Second
44.80.6
46.345.7
Auto10.1
Teleop29.9
End4.9
red by 20.4
3007
#23
24.40.2
24.324.4
Auto4.4
Teleop13.2
End6.8
Third
3018
#41
21.40.6
22.922.3
Auto9.5
Teleop10.1
End1.9
blue by 0.9
2509
#35
22.30.1
22.222.3
Auto6.3
Teleop10.4
End5.5