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Red94
284635.8
318426.9
453631.2
Blue90
313043.2
250244.6
249829.7
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions911260501502002503009490

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.80.0
35.835.8
Auto10.4
Teleop20.1
End5.3
blue by 8.8
2502
#19
44.60.0
44.644.6
Auto10.2
Teleop25.2
End9.2
Second
4536
#11
31.20.0
31.231.2
Auto10.2
Teleop13.5
End7.5
blue by 12.0
3130
#18
43.20.0
43.243.2
Auto16.1
Teleop23.1
End3.9
Third
26.90.0
26.926.9
Auto6.0
Teleop19.0
End1.8
blue by 2.8
2498
#28
29.70.0
29.729.7
Auto9.5
Teleop14.7
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
93%Breach odds87%Breach odds
Capture
9%Capture odds4%Capture odds