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Red47
25009.5
247221.4
340712.7
Blue95
217528.2
298736.0
485926.9
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions351040501502004795

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2472
#21
21.40.0
21.421.4
Auto7.1
Teleop12.4
End2.0
blue by 14.6
2987
#20
36.00.0
36.036.0
Auto8.4
Teleop22.2
End5.5
Second
3407
#34
12.70.0
12.712.7
Auto3.5
Teleop6.5
End2.8
blue by 15.5
28.20.0
28.228.2
Auto7.7
Teleop16.0
End4.5
Third
2500
#25
9.50.0
9.59.5
Auto1.8
Teleop6.8
End0.9
blue by 17.4
4859
#24
26.90.0
26.926.9
Auto8.4
Teleop13.5
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
17%Breach odds85%Breach odds
Capture
0%Capture odds4%Capture odds