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Red65
253116.7
451115.9
205254.8
Blue56
462423.6
285524.4
284723.0
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions94700501502006556

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.80.0
54.854.8
Auto17.7
Teleop31.2
End6.0
red by 30.4
2855
#27
24.40.0
24.424.4
Auto5.2
Teleop14.4
End4.8
Second
2531
#31
16.70.0
16.716.7
Auto4.1
Teleop11.2
End1.4
blue by 7.0
4624
#14
23.60.0
23.623.6
Auto6.8
Teleop11.8
End5.1
Third
4511
#16
15.90.0
15.915.9
Auto4.5
Teleop7.0
End4.5
blue by 7.1
2847
#23
23.00.0
23.023.0
Auto6.2
Teleop12.2
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
76%Breach odds73%Breach odds
Capture
2%Capture odds0%Capture odds