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Red64
460724.7
212914.4
392629.3
Blue85
485926.9
318426.9
313043.2
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions641060501502006485

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3926
#30
29.30.0
29.329.3
Auto5.9
Teleop17.7
End5.8
blue by 13.9
3130
#18
43.20.0
43.243.2
Auto16.1
Teleop23.1
End3.9
Second
4607
#26
24.70.0
24.724.7
Auto7.0
Teleop11.8
End6.0
blue by 2.2
4859
#24
26.90.0
26.926.9
Auto8.4
Teleop13.5
End5.1
Third
2129
#35
14.40.0
14.414.4
Auto4.2
Teleop9.5
End0.7
blue by 12.5
26.90.0
26.926.9
Auto6.0
Teleop19.0
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
71%Breach odds91%Breach odds
Capture
1%Capture odds1%Capture odds