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Red140
298736.0
205254.8
453631.2
Blue120
388331.8
284635.8
250244.6
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions160129050100200250300140120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.80.0
54.854.8
Auto17.7
Teleop31.2
End6.0
red by 10.3
2502
#19
44.60.0
44.644.6
Auto10.2
Teleop25.2
End9.2
Second
2987
#20
36.00.0
36.036.0
Auto8.4
Teleop22.2
End5.5
red by 0.2
35.80.0
35.835.8
Auto10.4
Teleop20.1
End5.3
Third
4536
#11
31.20.0
31.231.2
Auto10.2
Teleop13.5
End7.5
blue by 0.6
3883
#22
31.80.0
31.831.8
Auto8.4
Teleop18.7
End4.6