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Red122
304233.4
313043.2
217528.2
Blue128
421525.6
318426.9
181625.5
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13593050150200250122128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3130
#18
43.20.0
43.243.2
Auto16.1
Teleop23.1
End3.9
red by 16.3
26.90.0
26.926.9
Auto6.0
Teleop19.0
End1.8
Second
33.40.0
33.433.4
Auto8.5
Teleop19.6
End5.3
red by 7.8
25.60.0
25.625.6
Auto5.7
Teleop15.9
End4.1
Third
28.20.0
28.228.2
Auto7.7
Teleop16.0
End4.5
red by 2.7
25.50.0
25.525.5
Auto6.2
Teleop17.2
End2.2