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Red105
310234.4
288339.9
250129.7
Blue95
252625.2
250328.6
253029.3
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1128105010015020010595

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2883
#23
39.90.0
39.939.9
Auto12.1
Teleop22.8
End4.9
red by 10.6
2530
#21
29.30.0
29.329.3
Auto8.4
Teleop16.3
End4.6
Second
3102
#25
34.40.0
34.434.4
Auto10.5
Teleop19.8
End4.1
red by 5.8
2503
#22
28.60.0
28.628.6
Auto8.7
Teleop13.5
End6.5
Third
29.70.0
29.729.7
Auto7.1
Teleop18.0
End4.7
red by 4.5
2526
#16
25.20.0
25.225.2
Auto7.0
Teleop13.9
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
98%Breach odds60%Breach odds
Capture
5%Capture odds2%Capture odds