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Qual 92016 Minnesota State High School League State Championships
Red115
453924.4
327629.0
205251.2
Blue84
477830.1
523226.2
617526.6
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1128105010015020011584

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2052
#2
51.20.0
51.2→51.2
Auto14.2
Teleop29.2
End7.8
red by 21.1
4778
#6
30.10.0
30.1→30.1
Auto7.1
Teleop19.7
End3.3
Second
3276
#8
29.00.0
29.0→29.0
Auto7.3
Teleop16.3
End5.4
red by 2.5
6175
#27
26.60.0
26.6→26.6
Auto10.7
Teleop11.5
End4.3
Third
4539
#17
24.40.0
24.4→24.4
Auto5.5
Teleop15.9
End3.0
blue by 1.8
5232
#20
26.20.0
26.2→26.2
Auto9.1
Teleop13.6
End3.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
93%Breach odds87%Breach odds
Capture
1%Capture odds1%Capture odds