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Qual 152016 Minnesota State High School League State Championships
Red143
400934.8
250129.7
250236.6
Blue82
310234.4
617526.6
453924.4
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1078405015020014382

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2502
#5
36.60.0
36.6→36.6
Auto9.4
Teleop21.3
End5.9
red by 2.1
3102
#25
34.40.0
34.4→34.4
Auto10.5
Teleop19.8
End4.1
Second
4009
#4
34.80.0
34.8→34.8
Auto10.7
Teleop19.6
End4.5
red by 8.3
6175
#27
26.60.0
26.6→26.6
Auto10.7
Teleop11.5
End4.3
Third
2501
#7
29.70.0
29.7→29.7
Auto7.1
Teleop18.0
End4.7
red by 5.3
4539
#17
24.40.0
24.4→24.4
Auto5.5
Teleop15.9
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
93%Breach odds72%Breach odds
Capture
1%Capture odds2%Capture odds