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Qual 162016 Minnesota State High School League State Championships
Red104
308228.1
327733.7
285524.4
Blue107
252625.2
327629.0
569029.5
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8986050100150104107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3277
#9
33.70.0
33.7→33.7
Auto7.9
Teleop16.3
End9.6
red by 4.3
5690
#19
29.50.0
29.5→29.5
Auto9.7
Teleop13.5
End6.3
Second
3082
#29
28.10.0
28.1→28.1
Auto7.7
Teleop15.2
End5.2
blue by 0.9
3276
#8
29.00.0
29.0→29.0
Auto7.3
Teleop16.3
End5.4
Third
2855
#13
24.40.0
24.4→24.4
Auto5.2
Teleop14.4
End4.8
blue by 0.8
2526
#16
25.20.0
25.2→25.2
Auto7.0
Teleop13.9
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
92%Breach odds94%Breach odds
Capture
0%Capture odds0%Capture odds