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Red101
252625.2
327733.7
310234.4
Blue111
253817.6
400934.8
304233.4
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9887050150101111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3102
#25
34.40.0
34.434.4
Auto10.5
Teleop19.8
End4.1
blue by 0.4
34.80.0
34.834.8
Auto10.7
Teleop19.6
End4.5
Second
33.70.0
33.733.7
Auto7.9
Teleop16.3
End9.6
red by 0.3
3042
#11
33.40.0
33.433.4
Auto8.5
Teleop19.6
End5.3
Third
2526
#16
25.20.0
25.225.2
Auto7.0
Teleop13.9
End4.3
red by 7.6
2538
#26
17.60.0
17.617.6
Auto7.0
Teleop9.4
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
90%Breach odds93%Breach odds
Capture
1%Capture odds2%Capture odds