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Red116
569029.5
462423.6
205251.2
Blue90
543439.1
453924.4
250129.7
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions110945015020011690

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.20.0
51.251.2
Auto14.2
Teleop29.2
End7.8
red by 12.1
5434
#10
39.10.0
39.139.1
Auto14.6
Teleop20.8
End3.8
Second
5690
#19
29.50.0
29.529.5
Auto9.7
Teleop13.5
End6.3
blue by 0.2
29.70.0
29.729.7
Auto7.1
Teleop18.0
End4.7
Third
4624
#28
23.60.0
23.623.6
Auto6.8
Teleop11.8
End5.1
blue by 0.8
4539
#17
24.40.0
24.424.4
Auto5.5
Teleop15.9
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
93%Breach odds88%Breach odds
Capture
2%Capture odds1%Capture odds