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Qual 262016 Minnesota State High School League State Championships
Red70
285524.4
253817.6
569029.5
Blue117
181625.5
298736.0
400934.8
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6810505015020070117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5690
#19
29.50.0
29.5→29.5
Auto9.7
Teleop13.5
End6.3
blue by 6.5
2987
#3
36.00.0
36.0→36.0
Auto8.4
Teleop22.2
End5.5
Second
2855
#13
24.40.0
24.4→24.4
Auto5.2
Teleop14.4
End4.8
blue by 10.4
4009
#4
34.80.0
34.8→34.8
Auto10.7
Teleop19.6
End4.5
Third
2538
#26
17.60.0
17.6→17.6
Auto7.0
Teleop9.4
End1.3
blue by 7.9
1816
#30
25.50.0
25.5→25.5
Auto6.2
Teleop17.2
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
88%Breach odds95%Breach odds
Capture
1%Capture odds2%Capture odds