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Red91
465627.4
282339.0
250129.7
Blue94
523226.2
327733.7
453924.4
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions101840501502009194

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2823
#12
39.00.0
39.039.0
Auto13.8
Teleop21.4
End3.7
red by 5.2
33.70.0
33.733.7
Auto7.9
Teleop16.3
End9.6
Second
29.70.0
29.729.7
Auto7.1
Teleop18.0
End4.7
red by 3.5
5232
#20
26.20.0
26.226.2
Auto9.1
Teleop13.6
End3.5
Third
4656
#24
27.40.0
27.427.4
Auto9.8
Teleop13.1
End4.5
red by 3.0
4539
#17
24.40.0
24.424.4
Auto5.5
Teleop15.9
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
94%Breach odds81%Breach odds
Capture
1%Capture odds0%Capture odds