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Red140
250236.6
304233.4
517261.3
Blue119
477830.1
288339.9
252625.2
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14390050200250140119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.30.0
61.361.3
Auto17.0
Teleop34.5
End9.8
red by 21.5
2883
#23
39.90.0
39.939.9
Auto12.1
Teleop22.8
End4.9
Second
36.60.0
36.636.6
Auto9.4
Teleop21.3
End5.9
red by 6.5
30.10.0
30.130.1
Auto7.1
Teleop19.7
End3.3
Third
3042
#11
33.40.0
33.433.4
Auto8.5
Teleop19.6
End5.3
red by 8.2
2526
#16
25.20.0
25.225.2
Auto7.0
Teleop13.9
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
83%Breach odds96%Breach odds
Capture
4%Capture odds1%Capture odds