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Red80
250328.6
251241.5
308228.1
Blue122
253029.3
460724.7
205251.2
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10011005015020025080122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2512
#15
41.50.0
41.541.5
Auto11.6
Teleop21.9
End8.0
blue by 9.7
51.20.0
51.251.2
Auto14.2
Teleop29.2
End7.8
Second
2503
#22
28.60.0
28.628.6
Auto8.7
Teleop13.5
End6.5
blue by 0.7
2530
#21
29.30.0
29.329.3
Auto8.4
Teleop16.3
End4.6
Third
3082
#29
28.10.0
28.128.1
Auto7.7
Teleop15.2
End5.2
red by 3.4
4607
#14
24.70.0
24.724.7
Auto7.0
Teleop11.8
End6.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
76%Breach odds89%Breach odds
Capture
1%Capture odds9%Capture odds