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Red87
543439.1
462423.6
617526.6
Blue101
310234.4
222020.3
327629.0
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions93855015087101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5434
#10
39.10.0
39.139.1
Auto14.6
Teleop20.8
End3.8
red by 4.7
3102
#25
34.40.0
34.434.4
Auto10.5
Teleop19.8
End4.1
Second
6175
#27
26.60.0
26.626.6
Auto10.7
Teleop11.5
End4.3
blue by 2.5
29.00.0
29.029.0
Auto7.3
Teleop16.3
End5.4
Third
4624
#28
23.60.0
23.623.6
Auto6.8
Teleop11.8
End5.1
red by 3.4
2220
#18
20.30.0
20.320.3
Auto6.7
Teleop11.2
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
64%Breach odds94%Breach odds
Capture
1%Capture odds1%Capture odds