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Qual 312016 Minnesota State High School League State Championships
Red115
465627.4
253029.3
288339.9
Blue125
477830.1
460724.7
400934.8
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10191050150115125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2883
#23
39.90.0
39.9→39.9
Auto12.1
Teleop22.8
End4.9
red by 5.0
4009
#4
34.80.0
34.8→34.8
Auto10.7
Teleop19.6
End4.5
Second
2530
#21
29.30.0
29.3→29.3
Auto8.4
Teleop16.3
End4.6
blue by 0.8
4778
#6
30.10.0
30.1→30.1
Auto7.1
Teleop19.7
End3.3
Third
4656
#24
27.40.0
27.4→27.4
Auto9.8
Teleop13.1
End4.5
red by 2.7
4607
#14
24.70.0
24.7→24.7
Auto7.0
Teleop11.8
End6.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
95%Breach odds95%Breach odds
Capture
4%Capture odds1%Capture odds