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Red102
181625.5
310234.4
251241.5
Blue126
327733.7
543439.1
327629.0
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions104105708090100110120130140102126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2512
#15
41.50.0
41.541.5
Auto11.6
Teleop21.9
End8.0
red by 2.4
5434
#10
39.10.0
39.139.1
Auto14.6
Teleop20.8
End3.8
Second
3102
#25
34.40.0
34.434.4
Auto10.5
Teleop19.8
End4.1
red by 0.7
33.70.0
33.733.7
Auto7.9
Teleop16.3
End9.6
Third
1816
#30
25.50.0
25.525.5
Auto6.2
Teleop17.2
End2.2
blue by 3.5
29.00.0
29.029.0
Auto7.3
Teleop16.3
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
92%Breach odds92%Breach odds
Capture
8%Capture odds0%Capture odds