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Red111
252625.2
222020.3
617526.6
Blue103
288339.9
569029.5
282339.0
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions66119050100150200111103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6175
#27
26.60.0
26.626.6
Auto10.7
Teleop11.5
End4.3
blue by 13.3
2883
#23
39.90.0
39.939.9
Auto12.1
Teleop22.8
End4.9
Second
2526
#16
25.20.0
25.225.2
Auto7.0
Teleop13.9
End4.3
blue by 13.8
2823
#12
39.00.0
39.039.0
Auto13.8
Teleop21.4
End3.7
Third
2220
#18
20.30.0
20.320.3
Auto6.7
Teleop11.2
End2.3
blue by 9.2
5690
#19
29.50.0
29.529.5
Auto9.7
Teleop13.5
End6.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
58%Breach odds97%Breach odds
Capture
1%Capture odds2%Capture odds