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Qual 382016 Minnesota State High School League State Championships
Red125
250328.6
298736.0
462423.6
Blue126
251241.5
327733.7
477830.1
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8711250100150200125126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2987
#3
36.00.0
36.0→36.0
Auto8.4
Teleop22.2
End5.5
blue by 5.5
2512
#15
41.50.0
41.5→41.5
Auto11.6
Teleop21.9
End8.0
Second
2503
#22
28.60.0
28.6→28.6
Auto8.7
Teleop13.5
End6.5
blue by 5.1
3277
#9
33.70.0
33.7→33.7
Auto7.9
Teleop16.3
End9.6
Third
4624
#28
23.60.0
23.6→23.6
Auto6.8
Teleop11.8
End5.1
blue by 6.5
4778
#6
30.10.0
30.1→30.1
Auto7.1
Teleop19.7
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
57%Breach odds90%Breach odds
Capture
1%Capture odds1%Capture odds