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Qual 392016 Minnesota State High School League State Championships
Red100
253029.3
253817.6
543439.1
Blue124
250236.6
285524.4
453924.4
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8988406080100120140100124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5434
#10
39.10.0
39.1→39.1
Auto14.6
Teleop20.8
End3.8
red by 2.6
2502
#5
36.60.0
36.6→36.6
Auto9.4
Teleop21.3
End5.9
Second
2530
#21
29.30.0
29.3→29.3
Auto8.4
Teleop16.3
End4.6
red by 4.8
2855
#13
24.40.0
24.4→24.4
Auto5.2
Teleop14.4
End4.8
Third
2538
#26
17.60.0
17.6→17.6
Auto7.0
Teleop9.4
End1.3
blue by 6.8
4539
#17
24.40.0
24.4→24.4
Auto5.5
Teleop15.9
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
78%Breach odds72%Breach odds
Capture
3%Capture odds0%Capture odds