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Red80
523226.2
304233.4
310234.4
Blue105
308228.1
460724.7
517261.3
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9212205015020025080105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3102
#25
34.40.0
34.434.4
Auto10.5
Teleop19.8
End4.1
blue by 26.9
61.30.0
61.361.3
Auto17.0
Teleop34.5
End9.8
Second
3042
#11
33.40.0
33.433.4
Auto8.5
Teleop19.6
End5.3
red by 5.3
3082
#29
28.10.0
28.128.1
Auto7.7
Teleop15.2
End5.2
Third
5232
#20
26.20.0
26.226.2
Auto9.1
Teleop13.6
End3.5
red by 1.5
4607
#14
24.70.0
24.724.7
Auto7.0
Teleop11.8
End6.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
97%Breach odds87%Breach odds
Capture
5%Capture odds1%Capture odds