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Semifinal 1-12016 Minnesota State High School League State Championships
Red205
205251.2
517261.3
327629.0
Blue95
460724.7
250236.6
251241.5
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17711105015020025030020595

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5172
#1
61.30.0
61.3→61.3
Auto17.0
Teleop34.5
End9.8
red by 19.8
2512
#15
41.50.0
41.5→41.5
Auto11.6
Teleop21.9
End8.0
Second
2052
#2
51.20.0
51.2→51.2
Auto14.2
Teleop29.2
End7.8
red by 14.7
2502
#5
36.60.0
36.6→36.6
Auto9.4
Teleop21.3
End5.9
Third
3276
#8
29.00.0
29.0→29.0
Auto7.3
Teleop16.3
End5.4
red by 4.3
4607
#14
24.70.0
24.7→24.7
Auto7.0
Teleop11.8
End6.0