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Qual 52016 Minnesota State High School League State Championships
Red129
222020.3
205251.2
477830.1
Blue97
285524.4
310234.4
400934.8
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1069505015020012997

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2052
#2
51.20.0
51.2→51.2
Auto14.2
Teleop29.2
End7.8
red by 16.4
4009
#4
34.80.0
34.8→34.8
Auto10.7
Teleop19.6
End4.5
Second
4778
#6
30.10.0
30.1→30.1
Auto7.1
Teleop19.7
End3.3
blue by 4.3
3102
#25
34.40.0
34.4→34.4
Auto10.5
Teleop19.8
End4.1
Third
2220
#18
20.30.0
20.3→20.3
Auto6.7
Teleop11.2
End2.3
blue by 4.2
2855
#13
24.40.0
24.4→24.4
Auto5.2
Teleop14.4
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
95%Breach odds98%Breach odds
Capture
1%Capture odds2%Capture odds