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Red66
460724.7
569029.5
181625.5
Blue105
282339.0
251241.5
250236.6
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7412905010015020025066105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5690
#19
29.50.0
29.529.5
Auto9.7
Teleop13.5
End6.3
blue by 12.0
2512
#15
41.50.0
41.541.5
Auto11.6
Teleop21.9
End8.0
Second
1816
#30
25.50.0
25.525.5
Auto6.2
Teleop17.2
End2.2
blue by 13.5
2823
#12
39.00.0
39.039.0
Auto13.8
Teleop21.4
End3.7
Third
4607
#14
24.70.0
24.724.7
Auto7.0
Teleop11.8
End6.0
blue by 11.9
36.60.0
36.636.6
Auto9.4
Teleop21.3
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
86%Breach odds80%Breach odds
Capture
1%Capture odds5%Capture odds