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Qual 72016 Minnesota State High School League State Championships
Red168
400934.8
327733.7
517261.3
Blue145
222020.3
543439.1
298736.0
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14191050200250168145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5172
#1
61.30.0
61.3→61.3
Auto17.0
Teleop34.5
End9.8
red by 22.2
5434
#10
39.10.0
39.1→39.1
Auto14.6
Teleop20.8
End3.8
Second
4009
#4
34.80.0
34.8→34.8
Auto10.7
Teleop19.6
End4.5
blue by 1.2
2987
#3
36.00.0
36.0→36.0
Auto8.4
Teleop22.2
End5.5
Third
3277
#9
33.70.0
33.7→33.7
Auto7.9
Teleop16.3
End9.6
red by 13.5
2220
#18
20.30.0
20.3→20.3
Auto6.7
Teleop11.2
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
93%Breach odds86%Breach odds
Capture
2%Capture odds1%Capture odds