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Red91
193929.3
511929.8
181017.8
Blue118
199722.4
317228.1
176926.9
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions999505015020025030035040091118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.80.2
30.230.0
Auto9.4
Teleop14.9
End5.5
red by 1.7
28.10.5
27.527.9
Auto8.3
Teleop15.6
End4.3
Second
1939
#22
29.30.2
29.729.5
Auto7.1
Teleop18.3
End4.0
red by 2.4
1769
#23
26.90.5
26.326.7
Auto8.5
Teleop14.4
End4.0
Third
1810
#52
17.80.2
18.218.0
Auto5.5
Teleop10.2
End2.2
blue by 4.5
1997
#25
22.40.5
21.722.2
Auto3.2
Teleop14.3
End4.9