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Red90
199722.4
317228.1
176926.9
Blue119
198735.8
180635.2
93524.0
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9312440608010014016018090119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.10.2
28.328.1
Auto8.3
Teleop15.6
End4.3
blue by 7.7
1987
#10
35.80.3
37.537.2
Auto11.0
Teleop17.7
End7.2
Second
1769
#23
26.90.2
27.126.9
Auto8.5
Teleop14.4
End4.0
blue by 8.3
35.20.3
36.836.5
Auto10.5
Teleop19.9
End4.9
Third
1997
#25
22.40.2
22.622.4
Auto3.2
Teleop14.3
End4.9
blue by 1.6
935
#34
24.00.3
25.525.2
Auto6.9
Teleop14.5
End2.6