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Red76
182530.8
176926.9
198421.1
Blue85
495930.8
512622.3
235722.9
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions60653040507080901007685

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.81.9
25.427.3
Auto9.1
Teleop17.1
End4.5
Level
30.82.5
25.027.5
Auto8.5
Teleop16.9
End5.3
Second
1769
#23
26.91.9
22.023.9
Auto8.5
Teleop14.4
End4.0
red by 4.0
2357
#18
22.92.5
18.921.4
Auto7.7
Teleop11.8
End3.4
Third
1984
#32
21.11.9
11.813.7
Auto6.1
Teleop10.2
End4.8
blue by 1.2
5126
#42
22.32.5
18.420.9
Auto10.4
Teleop9.6
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
59%Breach oddsEarned64%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed