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Red54
173030.8
508215.7
180213.7
Blue65
580124.5
173714.3
176324.6
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions805620401001205465

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.82.8
32.930.1
Auto9.1
Teleop18.1
End3.5
red by 6.3
1763
#31
24.60.8
21.422.2
Auto6.1
Teleop13.8
End4.7
Second
5082
#38
15.72.8
21.518.7
Auto6.0
Teleop10.1
End-0.5
blue by 8.8
5801
#14
24.50.8
20.921.7
Auto7.6
Teleop13.5
End3.4
Third
1802
#54
13.72.8
19.917.1
Auto3.6
Teleop9.4
End0.8
blue by 0.6
1737
#53
14.30.8
15.416.2
Auto4.6
Teleop9.2
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
81%Breach oddsEarned26%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed