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Red96
580124.5
216719.2
198735.8
Blue54
172323.8
180213.7
512622.3
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8162020401001201401609654

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1987
#10
35.82.1
35.037.0
Auto11.0
Teleop17.7
End7.2
red by 12.0
1723
#43
23.80.9
24.723.8
Auto8.3
Teleop11.9
End3.7
Second
5801
#14
24.51.9
24.926.8
Auto7.6
Teleop13.5
End3.4
red by 2.2
5126
#42
22.30.9
22.421.5
Auto10.4
Teleop9.6
End2.4
Third
2167
#36
19.21.9
16.318.2
Auto3.1
Teleop13.8
End2.4
red by 5.5
1802
#54
13.70.9
16.115.2
Auto3.6
Teleop9.4
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
65%Breach oddsEarned55%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed