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Red54
526819.0
216419.7
591818.5
Blue108
198421.1
352827.1
241025.1
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5666020408010012054108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2164
#30
19.70.2
19.619.4
Auto7.8
Teleop10.2
End1.8
blue by 7.3
3528
#12
27.12.0
24.126.0
Auto7.5
Teleop15.0
End4.5
Second
5268
#56
19.00.2
18.618.4
Auto7.5
Teleop8.1
End3.4
blue by 6.1
2410
#41
25.12.0
22.324.3
Auto5.3
Teleop15.2
End4.7
Third
5918
#45
18.50.2
17.917.7
Auto4.1
Teleop9.7
End4.8
blue by 2.6
1984
#32
21.12.1
16.418.5
Auto6.1
Teleop10.2
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
32%Breach oddsEarned41%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsEarned