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Red65
93524.0
176422.3
508215.7
Blue111
452232.1
509831.2
514126.2
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6481204010012014065111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
935
#34
24.00.9
23.422.5
Auto6.9
Teleop14.5
End2.6
blue by 8.1
4522
#33
32.12.9
27.730.5
Auto7.0
Teleop19.2
End5.9
Second
1764
#48
22.30.9
24.423.5
Auto7.5
Teleop10.5
End4.3
blue by 8.9
5098
#11
31.22.9
28.631.5
Auto10.0
Teleop16.1
End5.2
Third
5082
#38
15.70.9
16.615.7
Auto6.0
Teleop10.1
End-0.5
blue by 10.5
5141
#19
26.23.1
20.123.2
Auto8.0
Teleop13.6
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
52%Breach oddsMissed71%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed