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Red88
110826.9
177534.5
596813.0
Blue115
193929.3
200123.4
511929.8
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions708020406010012014088115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.51.8
32.033.8
Auto7.6
Teleop19.6
End7.3
red by 4.7
29.82.3
28.530.8
Auto9.4
Teleop14.9
End5.5
Second
1108
#37
26.91.8
25.727.5
Auto7.4
Teleop14.9
End4.6
blue by 2.4
1939
#22
29.32.3
27.029.3
Auto7.1
Teleop18.3
End4.0
Third
5968
#58
13.01.8
11.613.4
Auto7.8
Teleop4.8
End0.4
blue by 10.4
2001
#21
23.42.3
20.422.7
Auto8.5
Teleop12.7
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
74%Breach oddsEarned89%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsEarned