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Red126
198652.9
514126.2
199421.1
Blue48
180213.7
445520.7
580124.5
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions986120408012014016012648

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.92.8
50.453.2
Auto16.2
Teleop27.7
End8.9
red by 28.4
5801
#14
24.51.5
26.825.4
Auto7.6
Teleop13.5
End3.4
Second
5141
#19
26.23.0
23.226.2
Auto8.0
Teleop13.6
End4.6
red by 5.5
4455
#26
20.71.6
22.621.0
Auto6.5
Teleop11.8
End2.5
Third
1994
#27
21.12.8
16.219.0
Auto6.3
Teleop10.3
End4.5
red by 7.4
1802
#54
13.71.5
15.213.7
Auto3.6
Teleop9.4
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
74%Breach oddsEarned60%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
1%Capture oddsEarned0%Capture oddsMissed