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Red75
256021.7
511929.8
573029.8
Blue84
182530.8
512622.3
591818.5
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8869204060801001201407584

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.80.6
30.830.2
Auto9.4
Teleop14.9
End5.5
blue by 1.0
30.80.8
30.331.1
Auto9.1
Teleop17.1
End4.5
Second
5730
#16
29.80.7
29.128.4
Auto8.7
Teleop16.1
End4.9
red by 7.4
5126
#42
22.30.8
21.522.3
Auto10.4
Teleop9.6
End2.4
Third
2560
#40
21.70.6
22.321.7
Auto6.1
Teleop11.9
End3.7
red by 3.2
5918
#45
18.50.8
17.718.5
Auto4.1
Teleop9.7
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
92%Breach oddsMissed65%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed