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Red58
172323.8
181017.8
508215.7
Blue80
184720.4
518918.4
198421.1
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions615302040801001205880

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1723
#43
23.80.0
23.823.8
Auto8.3
Teleop11.9
End3.7
red by 2.7
1984
#32
21.12.7
18.521.1
Auto6.1
Teleop10.2
End4.8
Second
1810
#52
17.80.0
18.218.2
Auto5.5
Teleop10.2
End2.2
blue by 2.5
1847
#39
20.42.5
17.920.4
Auto6.9
Teleop12.0
End1.5
Third
5082
#38
15.70.0
15.715.7
Auto6.0
Teleop10.1
End-0.5
blue by 2.7
5189
#50
18.42.5
16.018.4
Auto4.5
Teleop10.3
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
54%Breach oddsMissed47%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed