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Red85
220222.4
234621.5
199421.1
Blue117
452232.1
573029.8
596813.0
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions577520408010012085117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2202
#44
22.42.4
20.022.4
Auto6.6
Teleop12.2
End3.6
blue by 9.7
4522
#33
32.11.9
30.532.4
Auto7.0
Teleop19.2
End5.9
Second
2346
#29
21.52.2
19.321.5
Auto7.7
Teleop10.2
End3.7
blue by 8.2
5730
#16
29.81.9
28.430.4
Auto8.7
Teleop16.1
End4.9
Third
1994
#27
21.12.2
19.021.1
Auto6.3
Teleop10.3
End4.5
red by 8.1
5968
#58
13.01.8
11.313.0
Auto7.8
Teleop4.8
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
60%Breach oddsEarned60%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed