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Red116
177534.5
198652.9
445520.7
Blue76
245727.9
509831.2
580124.5
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions137101608012016018020011676

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.90.8
53.252.4
Auto16.2
Teleop27.7
End8.9
red by 21.7
5098
#11
31.20.8
32.131.3
Auto10.0
Teleop16.1
End5.2
Second
34.50.8
34.834.0
Auto7.6
Teleop19.6
End7.3
red by 6.5
2457
#13
27.90.8
28.828.0
Auto6.5
Teleop15.2
End6.3
Third
4455
#26
20.70.8
21.020.2
Auto6.5
Teleop11.8
End2.5
blue by 3.8
5801
#14
24.50.8
25.424.5
Auto7.6
Teleop13.5
End3.4