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Quarterfinal 3-22016 St. Louis Regional
Red108
493131.2
109431.9
432921.0
Blue76
558327.0
120828.3
328426.4
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions103104809010011012013010876

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.90.1
31.531.6
Auto11.9
Teleop13.2
End6.7
red by 3.6
28.30.4
28.628.1
Auto7.6
Teleop16.5
End4.2
Second
31.20.1
30.730.9
Auto7.6
Teleop16.8
End6.7
red by 4.2
27.00.5
27.326.8
Auto8.0
Teleop14.6
End4.4
Third
4329
#30
21.00.1
20.620.8
Auto6.2
Teleop11.8
End3.1
blue by 5.4
3284
#31
26.40.5
26.726.2
Auto5.3
Teleop16.0
End5.1