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Quarterfinal 3-32016 St. Louis Regional
Red114
493131.2
109431.9
432921.0
Blue108
558327.0
120828.3
328426.4
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions106101050150200114108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.90.2
31.631.8
Auto11.9
Teleop13.2
End6.7
red by 3.6
28.30.2
28.128.3
Auto7.6
Teleop16.5
End4.2
Second
31.20.2
30.931.0
Auto7.6
Teleop16.8
End6.7
red by 4.2
27.00.2
26.827.0
Auto8.0
Teleop14.6
End4.4
Third
4329
#30
21.00.2
20.820.9
Auto6.2
Teleop11.8
End3.1
blue by 5.4
3284
#31
26.40.2
26.226.4
Auto5.3
Teleop16.0
End5.1