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Quarterfinal 4-12016 St. Louis Regional
Red112
424623.5
435628.7
240818.6
Blue106
339722.1
128827.2
170617.3
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8576204060100120140160112106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4356
#3
28.70.4
28.2→28.5
Auto7.6
Teleop15.2
End5.8
red by 1.6
1288
#7
27.20.5
26.3→26.8
Auto13.7
Teleop10.9
End2.5
Second
4246
#22
23.50.3
23.0→23.3
Auto6.3
Teleop9.2
End7.9
red by 1.4
3397
#23
22.10.5
21.3→21.7
Auto3.9
Teleop15.8
End2.4
Third
2408
#46
18.60.3
18.1→18.4
Auto6.3
Teleop9.3
End2.9
red by 1.3
1706
#42
17.30.5
16.5→17.0
Auto5.9
Teleop8.7
End2.7