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Red45
415425.5
603414.1
132924.8
Blue37
117823.8
270711.9
549217.2
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51480204060801001201401604537

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4154
#15
25.51.6
18.216.6
Auto8.3
Teleop10.1
End7.1
red by 1.7
1178
#20
23.81.1
17.416.3
Auto7.8
Teleop11.0
End4.9
Second
1329
#19
24.81.6
19.517.9
Auto5.2
Teleop14.9
End4.6
red by 7.6
5492
#40
17.21.1
18.717.6
Auto4.6
Teleop10.0
End2.6
Third
6034
#41
14.11.6
11.59.9
Auto2.7
Teleop7.2
End4.2
red by 2.2
2707
#37
11.91.1
10.89.7
Auto0.6
Teleop10.0
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
39%Breach oddsMissed27%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed