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Red59
514716.5
435628.7
425625.1
Blue50
506018.1
547619.1
240818.6
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5841020801005950

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.70.6
19.119.7
Auto7.6
Teleop15.2
End5.8
red by 9.6
5476
#38
19.10.9
14.815.6
Auto8.9
Teleop8.6
End1.7
Second
4256
#16
25.10.6
21.822.4
Auto6.9
Teleop13.7
End4.5
red by 6.5
2408
#46
18.60.9
13.614.5
Auto6.3
Teleop9.3
End2.9
Third
5147
#45
16.50.6
12.613.2
Auto2.2
Teleop11.4
End2.9
blue by 1.5
5060
#32
18.10.9
13.914.7
Auto5.7
Teleop9.3
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
51%Breach oddsEarned23%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed