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Qual 82016 St. Louis Regional
Red25
297814.6
575813.9
283817.7
Blue59
532627.5
558327.0
418723.3
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions575302040801001201401602559

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2838
#28
17.73.3
20.5→17.2
Auto3.6
Teleop10.8
End3.3
blue by 9.8
5326
#10
27.50.7
20.7→21.5
Auto8.3
Teleop16.9
End2.2
Second
2978
#33
14.63.3
13.9→10.5
Auto5.1
Teleop7.4
End2.0
blue by 12.4
5583
#9
27.00.7
14.9→15.6
Auto8.0
Teleop14.6
End4.4
Third
5758
#49
13.93.3
20.7→17.3
Auto2.1
Teleop9.3
End2.5
blue by 9.4
4187
#24
23.30.7
16.7→17.5
Auto4.1
Teleop10.5
End8.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
44%Breach oddsMissed44%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed